Quantitative measurement, spatial–temporal characteristics, and multi-dimensional dynamic evolution analysis of energy poverty in China

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This study quantified China's energy poverty from 2000-2020, revealing a linear decline with a widening regional gap, a shrinking high-value area, a shift of the poverty center inland, and insufficient spatial spillover effects.

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This paper studies the quantitative measurement and spatial–temporal evolution of energy poverty across China from 2000 to 2020, using a combined dynamic evaluation framework to assess energy poverty levels in multiple dimensions and to examine spatial pattern changes such as displacement and deformation. It further applies a spatial kernel density model to analyze dynamic evolution. The authors report a linear decline in overall energy poverty over the period alongside widening regional disparities, with the northwest and northeast remaining high-value and only Heilongjiang remaining in the high-value region by later years; they also find the distribution center shifting inland and an early-stage spatial restructuring that later stabilizes. A major caveat highlighted in the abstract is that spatial effects matter for interpreting sustainability: without spatial factors, reductions are described as highly sustainable, whereas with spatial conditions spatial spillover is insufficient and time-integrated correlations weaken, intensifying polarization. The paper does not explicitly discuss endometriosis or adenomyosis; it was included in the corpus via a keyword match in the upstream search index.

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Abstract

Abstract To better understand the evolution of energy poverty in China, this study uses a combined dynamic evaluation to method accurately measure and analyze the level and temporal characteristics of energy poverty in each dimension, examining the spatial pattern, displacement, and deformation of energy poverty from a spatial–temporal perspective. Subsequently, a spatial kernel density model is introduced to explore its dynamic evolution in greater depth. The research findings demonstrate the following: 1. China experienced a linear decline in overall energy poverty from 2000 to 2020, but the regional gap widened. 2. The northwest and northeast regions consistently remained in the high-value region, while the southeast coastal and central provinces achieved substantial poverty reduction, leading to the high-value region shrinking to cover only Heilongjiang. 3. The distribution center of energy poverty in China gradually shifted towards inland areas, with significant displacement and deformation in the early stage, before stabilizing in the later stage. 4. Without the influence of spatial factors, energy poverty reduction is highly sustainable. Under spatial conditions, the spatial spillover effect between provinces is insufficient. After incorporating the time condition, the correlation between local provinces and provinces with lower energy poverty weakens, leading to the intensification of the polarization effect.
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Quantitative measurement, spatial–temporal characteristics, and multi-dimensional dynamic evolution analysis of energy poverty in China | Research Square window.SnipcartSettings = { analytics: { enabled: false } }; (function() { var accessVector = localStorage.getItem('access_vector') || ''; window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; if (accessVector) { window.dataLayer.push({ user: { profile: { profileInfo: { snid: accessVector } } } }); } })(); (function(w,d,s,l,i){w[l]=w[l]||[];w[l].push({'gtm.start':new Date().getTime(),event:'gtm.js'});var f=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],j=d.createElement(s),dl=l!='dataLayer'?'&l='+l:'';j.async=true;j.src='https://www.googletagmanager.com/gtm.js?id='+i+dl;f.parentNode.insertBefore(j,f);})(window,document,'script','dataLayer','GTM-K279D39R'); Browse Preprints In Review Journals COVID-19 Preprints AJE Video Bytes Research Tools Research Promotion AJE Professional Editing AJE Rubriq About Preprint Platform In Review Editorial Policies Our Team Advisory Board Help Center Sign In Submit a Preprint Cite Share Download PDF Research Article Quantitative measurement, spatial–temporal characteristics, and multi-dimensional dynamic evolution analysis of energy poverty in China zhigang zhu This is a preprint; it has not been peer reviewed by a journal. https://doi.org/ 10.21203/rs.3.rs-8200862/v1 This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Abstract To better understand the evolution of energy poverty in China, this study uses a combined dynamic evaluation to method accurately measure and analyze the level and temporal characteristics of energy poverty in each dimension, examining the spatial pattern, displacement, and deformation of energy poverty from a spatial–temporal perspective. Subsequently, a spatial kernel density model is introduced to explore its dynamic evolution in greater depth. The research findings demonstrate the following: 1. China experienced a linear decline in overall energy poverty from 2000 to 2020, but the regional gap widened. 2. The northwest and northeast regions consistently remained in the high-value region, while the southeast coastal and central provinces achieved substantial poverty reduction, leading to the high-value region shrinking to cover only Heilongjiang. 3. The distribution center of energy poverty in China gradually shifted towards inland areas, with significant displacement and deformation in the early stage, before stabilizing in the later stage. 4. Without the influence of spatial factors, energy poverty reduction is highly sustainable. Under spatial conditions, the spatial spillover effect between provinces is insufficient. After incorporating the time condition, the correlation between local provinces and provinces with lower energy poverty weakens, leading to the intensification of the polarization effect. energy poverty quantitative evaluation spatial–temporal characteristics multi-dimensional dynamic evolution Full Text Additional Declarations No competing interests reported. Cite Share Download PDF Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Research Square lets you share your work early, gain feedback from the community, and start making changes to your manuscript prior to peer review in a journal. As a division of Research Square Company, we’re committed to making research communication faster, fairer, and more useful. We do this by developing innovative software and high quality services for the global research community. Our growing team is made up of researchers and industry professionals working together to solve the most critical problems facing scientific publishing. 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