Methods
All ovarian stimulation-or ovulation induction-IUI cycles were performed at
Shady Grove Fertility Center, a private practice fertility center in Rockville, MD.
This study was performed with Institutional Review Board approval (Advara CIRBI,
Pro00027148). All clinical data was stored in the same electronic medical record
system during the study period. The same clinical variables were collected over the
entire period of the study. The electronic medical record was queried to capture all
IUI cycles and desired variables were extracted. All ovarian stimulation- or
ovulation induction-IUI cycles were included regardless of stimulation protocol
(clomiphene citrate or letrozole or gonadotropins or combination). These are
referred to going forward as ovulation induction-IUI cycles. Ovarian stimulation and
ovulation induction protocols did not change during the study period. Ovulation
induction medications were prescribed per the discretion of the health care
provider. Letrozole (2.5–7.5 milligrams (mg)), clomiphene citrate
(50–150 mg), recombinant follitropin or menotropin (75 international
units(IU)) were initiated on cycle day 3 after a baseline pelvic ultrasound was
performed, and taken daily for 5 days unless inadequate follicle response. If
gonadotropins were supplemented to either clomiphene or letrozole cycles, 75 IU of
follitropin or menotropin were added on cycle days 8 to 10, after completion of a 5
day regimen of an oral agent. A follicle scan was performed between cycle day 9 and
12, and then every 1 to 3 days as needed until the lead follicle reached
18–20 millimeters (mm) in greatest diameter. All patients received
recombinant human chorionic gonadotropin injections (250 microgram subcutaneous or
10,000 units intramuscular per health care provider preference) when the lead
follicle was 18–20mm If a serum luteinizing hormone was obtained and a surge
was noted to have occurred (> 20 IU), the trigger was omitted. The BMI cut
off was above 44 kilogram per meter 2 . All infertility diagnoses outside of significant male factor
were included. To exclude significant male factor infertility, cycles with a post
wash count of < 8 million total motile sperm were excluded, as the pregnancy
rates were stable over 8 million motile sperm 25 . A subgroup analysis was performed in patients with
unexplained infertility, as multifollicular recruitment may be used more frequently
in this patient group as a strategy to increase pregnancy rates. Additional analyses
were also done on patients with polycystic ovarian syndrome (PCOS) or
oligo-ovulation Clinical pregnancy was defined as the presence of an intrauterine
gestational sac with fetal cardiac activity, and multiple gestation rates were
defined as the presence of two or more intrauterine gestational sacs with fetal
cardiac activity per IUI cycle. Multiple gestations were further analyzed by twin
gestation and high order multiple gestation. Data was missing on infertility
diagnosis for 2,264 cycles (4.4%). These cycles were included in the overall study
analysis but not the subgroup analysis of unexplained infertility and
anovulation.
Duration of infertility was defined as the number of reported months without
contraception while being sexually active. The relationship of duration of
infertility with clinical pregnancy and multiple gestation was assessed by subgroups
(<12 months, 12–23 months, 24–25 months, and ≥36 months)
and as a continuous variable. Year of treatment was assessed to examine if practice
pattern changes (for example more letrozole use in later years) was associated with
differences in clinical pregnancy or multiple gestation.
Mature follicles were defined as those measuring ≥ 14 mm on the day
of trigger. 22 , 26 The total number of follicles ≥ 14 mm
was recorded as a field in each patient’s medical record. Follicles
<14mm on the day of trigger were not recorded in the majority of patient
records. Participants were initially stratified using standard SART (Society for
Assisted Reproductive Technology) age ranges ( 42 years) 27 . However, the decision was made to collapse
age categories ( 40 years) due to
similar results in the <35 and 35–37 year old age groups ( Figure 1 ).
Baseline characteristics, clinical and multiple pregnancy rates were
examined using chi square and Student’s t-test as indicated. To adjust for
repeated IUI cycles in the same patient, generalized estimating equations were used
to assess the odds of clinical pregnancy and multiple gestation per IUI and multiple
gestation per pregnancy and presented as odds ratios with 95% confidence intervals.
Duration of infertility (in months) was included in all adjusted models as a
clinically relevant covariate. All analysis was completed using STATA (StataCorp
LLC, College Station, TX). Statistical significance was considered at
P <0.05.
Results
We identified 24,649 women who had undergone a total of 50,473 IUI cycles
from 2004 to 2017. There were 16,837 cycles (33.4%) with 1 mature follicle, 16,598
cycles (32.9%) with 2 mature follicles, 10,534 cycles (20.9%) with 3 mature
follicles, 4,805 cycles (9.5%) with 4 mature follicles, and 1,699 cycles (3.3%) with
5 mature follicles ( Table 1 ). The majority of
cycles used clomiphene citrate alone (28.4%), and 40.8% of all cycles used
clomiphene citrate supplemented by gonadotropins. Letrozole alone was used in 6.1%
of all cycles, letrozole plus gonadotropins in 0.4%, and 1.4% were natural cycles
without stimulation. Gonadotropins alone were used in 22.9% of cycles. The majority
of the patients were diagnosed with unexplained infertility (39.9%), followed by
polycystic ovarian syndrome (PCOS) or oligo-ovulation (20.1%), exclusively male
factor (9.2%), diminished ovarian reserve (7.9%), utilization of donor sperm (5.6%)
(i.e., same-sex couples and single patients), and endometriosis (2.5%). The
remainder of the patients (14.8%) were categorized in our data set as
“other” (i.e., sexual aversion from pelvic pain, cervical stenosis, or
diagnosis not entered). The mean duration of infertility was 16 months (range: 0 to
276 months). There was no difference in clinical pregnancy or multiple gestation
based on duration of infertility. Additionally, the year of treatment assessment
analysis did not change any outcomes over the study period, indicating the
relatively stable outcome results in IUI cycles over the study period.
Clinical pregnancy ranged widely from 4.1% to 21.8% per IUI across all age
ranges and decreased with increasing age. When evaluating the full cohort, the mean
clinical pregnancy rate (CPR) per IUI ranged from 13.0% with 1 mature follicle to
19.6% with 5 mature follicles. The singleton rate per IUI increased by only 1.9%
from 12.4% with 1 follicle to 14.3% with 5 follicles, while the odds of multiples
increased by a factor of 8.6 (aOR 8.6, 95%CI 6.2–11.8) ( Figure 1 ). With 5 mature follicles present, the per
pregnancy twin risk significantly increased from 3.9% to 22.4%
( P <0.001) and higher order multiple gestation risk
significantly increased from 0.3% to 7.6% ( P <0.001) ( Figure 2 ).
In women of all ages, the odds of pregnancy increased modestly with the
presence of each additional mature follicle: 2 follicles compared 1 (aOR 1.3, CI
1.2–1.4. P <0.001), 3 follicles compared to 1 (aOR
1.4, CI 1.3–1.5. P <0.001), 4 follicles compared to 1
(aOR 1.5, CI 1.4–1.7. P <0.001), and 5 follicles
compared to 1 (aOR 1.6, CI 1.4–1.9. P < 0.001).
However, a greater significantly increased risk of multiples was seen with the
presence of each additional mature follicle: 2 follicles compared to 1 (aOR 3.5, 95%
CI 2.7–4.4. P <0.001), 3 follicles compared to 1 (aOR
5.6, 95% CI 4.4–7.1. P <0.001), 4 follicles compared
to 1(aOR 7.2, 95% CI 5.6–9.4, P <0.001) and 5
follicles compared to 1 (aOR 8.6, 95% CI 6.2–11.8,
P <0.001).
In women <38 years of age, when the number of mature follicles
increased from 1 to 5, the clinical pregnancy rates per IUI increased from 14.6% to
21.9% (aOR 1.6, 95%CI 1.4–1.9), with a significant increase in multiples per
IUI from 0.6% to 6.5% (aOR 9.9, 95% CI 6.9–14.2) ( Figure 1 ). There was little increase in singleton
pregnancies per IUI (14.1–16.4%) regardless of mature follicle number. With 5
mature follicles, the per pregnancy twin and higher order multiple gestation risk
significantly increased (3.9% to 23.3%, P <0.01 and 0.2% to
10.6%, P <0.01, respectively) ( Figure 2 ). In women 3 mature
follicles, over one quarter of all pregnancies resulted in a multiple gestation.
The chance of pregnancy increased modestly with the presence of each
additional mature follicle: 2 mature follicles compared to 1 (aOR 1.3, CI
1.2–1.4. P <0.001), 3 mature follicles compared to 1
(aOR 1.4, CI 1.3–1.5. P <0.001), 4 mature follicles
compared to 1 (aOR 1.5, CI 1.3–1.6. P <0.001), and 5
mature follicles compared to 1 (aOR 1.6, CI 1.4–1.9. P
<0.001). However, a significantly increased risk of multiples was noted with
the presence of each additional mature follicle: 2 follicles compared to 1 (aOR 3.6,
95% CI 2.8–4.6, P <0.001), 3 follicles compared to 1
(aOR 6.0, 95% CI 4.6–7.8, P <0.001), 4 follicles
compared to 1 (aOR 8.2, 95% CI 6.2–10.9, P <0.001) and
5 follicles compared to 1 (aOR 9.9, 95% CI 6.9–14.2,
P <0.001).
In women 38–40 years of age, increasing mature follicles from 1 to 5
increased the clinical pregnancy rate from 9.5% to 16.9% (aOR 2.0, 95%CI
1.5–2.8) with a marked increase in multiples from 0.5% to 3.6% (aOR 5.0,
95%CI 2.1–11.8) . There was an increase in singleton pregnancies per IUI
(8.6–13.3%) with increasing mature follicle number. However, with 5 mature
follicles, the per pregnancy twin risk increased significantly (4.3% to 21.3%,
P <0.01). There was no significant difference in risk of
higher order multiples.
The chance of pregnancy increased modestly with the presence of each
additional mature follicle: 2 follicles compared 1 (aOR 1.4, CI 1.1–1.7,
P <0.001), 3 follicles compared to 1 (aOR 1.7, CI
1.4–2.1, P <0.001), 4 follicles compared to 1 (aOR
2.0, CI 1.6–2.5, P <0.001), and 5 follicles compared
to 1 (aOR 2.0, CI 1.5–2.8, P <0.001). A significant
increase in multiples was noted with the presence of additional mature follicles:
with 2 follicles compared to 1 (aOR 2.5, 95% CI 1.2–5.0,
P <0.001), 3 follicles compared to 1 (aOR 3.6, 95% CI
1.8–7.2, P <0.001), 4 follicles compared to 1 (aOR
4.4, 95% CI 2.1–9.1, P <0.001) and 5 follicles
compared to 1 (aOR 5.0, 95% CI 2.1–11.8,
P <0.001).
In patients over 40 years of age, increasing the follicle number increased
clinical pregnancy without increasing the risk of multiple gestation. Increasing the
follicle count from 1 to 5 increased the clinical pregnancy per IUI rate by a factor
of 3.6 from 4.1% to 13.5% (aOR 3.6, 95%CI 2.3–5.7). With 5 mature follicles,
the per IUI twin and higher order multiple risk increased from 0.1% to 2.5% (aOR
12.5, 95%CI 1.4–108.7) . In women over the age of 40, up to 4 follicles
tripled the likelihood of pregnancy (aOR 3.1, 95%CI 2.1–4.5) while
maintaining a less than 12% risk of multiple gestation per pregnancy, and a 1.0%
absolute risk of multiples. With limited numbers, there was no significant
difference in risk of higher order multiples.
Overall, the chance of pregnancy increased at a greater magnitude with the
presence of each additional mature follicle, compared to younger age groups: 2
follicles compared 1 (aOR 1.6, CI 1.1–2.2), 3 follicles compared to 1 (aOR
2.0, 95%CI 1.4–2.9), 4 follicles compared to 1 (aOR 3.1, CI 2.1–4.5),
and 5 follicles compared to 1 (aOR 3.6, CI 2.3–5.7). In contrast to the
younger age groups, a significant increase in multiples was not noted until the
presence of 5 follicles compared to 1 (aOR 12.5, 95%CI 1.4–108.8).
The diagnosis comprising the largest portion of patients in our data set was
unexplained infertility (39.9%, n = 20,153 cycles). Three-quarters of these IUI
cycles used either clomiphene alone or gonadotropins plus clomiphene, 19.5% used
gonadotropins alone, and 5.2% used either IUI alone or letrozole plus IUI. When
limiting to women with unexplained infertility, all age groups revealed a similar
trend to the overall cohort with increased chance of clinical pregnancy and multiple
pregnancy with each additional follicle. The only notable difference was seen in
women < 38 years of age with unexplained infertility: the singleton clinical
pregnancy rate per IUI with 1 follicle present was 11.8% (compared to 14.1% in the
entire cohort of women < 38 years of age). Trends were otherwise similar in
both singleton and multiple pregnancies. In all age groups with unexplained
infertility, increasing the number of mature follicles from 1 to 5 had a similar
increase in clinical pregnancy: 2 follicles compared to 1 (aOR 1.5, CI
1.4–1.7), 3 follicles compared to 1 (aOR 1.8, CI 1.6–2.0), 4 follicles
compared to 1 a(OR 1.8, CI 1.5–2.0), and 5 follicles compared to 1 (aOR 2.0,
CI 1.6–2.4). However, all age groups also revealed a similar increased risk
of multiples with each increasing mature follicle number: with 2 follicles compared
to 1 (aOR 3.7, 95% CI 2.4–5.7), 3 follicles compared to 1 (aOR 5.4, 95% CI
3.5–8.3), 4 follicles compared to 1 (aOR 7.0, 95% CI 4.4–11.1) and 5
follicles compared to 1 (aOR 7.1, 95% CI 4.1–12.3).
Additional analyses were done on patients with polycystic ovarian syndrome
(PCOS) or oligo-ovulation (20.1%, n = 10,089 cycles). Of these IUI cycles, 36.7%
used clomiphene citrate alone, 30.0% used gonadotropins alone, 23.0% used
gonadotropins plus clomiphene, 8.5% used letrozole alone, and the remainder used
letrozole plus gonadotropins. When limiting to women with ovulatory disorders, all
age groups revealed a similar trend to the overall cohort with increased chance of
clinical pregnancy and multiple pregnancy with each additional follicle. In all age
groups with ovulatory disorders, increasing the number of mature follicles from 1 to
5 had a similar increase in clinical pregnancy: 2 follicles compared to 1 (aOR 1.3,
CI 1.1–1.4), 3 follicles compared to 1 (aOR 1.5, CI 1.3–1.7), 4
follicles compared to 1 (aOR 1.8, CI 1.5–2.1), and 5 follicles compared to 1
(aOR 1.6, CI 1.2–2.1). However, all age groups also revealed a significantly
increased risk of multiples with each increasing mature follicle number: with 2
follicles compared to 1 (aOR 3.9, 95% CI 2.5–6.0), 3 follicles compared to 1
(aOR 8.2, 95% CI 5.2–12.7), 4 follicles compared to 1 (aOR 12.5, 95% CI
7.7–20.5) and 5 follicles compared to 1 (aOR 14.3, 95% CI
7.7–26.7).
The tradeoff between the relative increase in clinical pregnancy rate and
increasing frequency of multiples per pregnancy was evaluated graphically. In women
< 38 years, 2 mature follicles increased the odds of pregnancy by 30% (aOR
1.3, 95%CI 1.2–1.4) compared to a single follicle. However, beyond 2
follicles, the absolute increase in clinical pregnancy was negligible (4%) with a
4.9–7.2 fold increase in multiple pregnancy with 3 or more follicles. In
women 38–40 years of age, the relative increase in pregnancy rate was much
higher than patients in the younger group. However, the risk of multiples per
pregnancy also steadily increased with increasing follicle number. Above 3
follicles, the relative increase in pregnancy was 15% with nearly a 20% risk of
multiples per pregnancy. There was no benefit in relative increase in pregnancy
rates when more than 4 follicles were present, yet multiple pregnancy risk increased
further to 30%. In women over 40 years of age, the odds of pregnancy nearly tripled
by pushing to 4 or more follicles (aOR 3.1, 95%CI 2.1–4.5) while maintaining
a less than 12% risk of multiples per pregnancy until a 5 th follicle was
present. With 5 follicles present, the risk of multiples increased to 18% per
pregnancy ( Figure 2 ). The number of prior
IUI’s per patient ranged from 0 to 12, with a mean of 2.2. Additionally, the
risk of multiples persisted regardless of whether it was the patient’s first
or last cycle recorded during this time frame.
Discussion
This large retrospective study reveals that caution should be used in
proceeding with IUI when more than 2 mature follicles are seen in women under the
age of 40 due to the substantially increased risk of multiple gestation without an
improved chance of singleton clinical pregnancy. Deciding whether to cancel or
proceed based upon follicular response can present a clinical quandary. Despite the
known increased risk of multiples with increasing mature follicle number, previous
literature does not differentiate an age specific risk of multiples based on
follicle number. In contrast to in vitro fertilization where multiple pregnancy may
be controlled by the number of embryos transferred, in IUI with ovarian stimulation,
health care providers have little control over reducing the occurrence of multiples
during stimulation outside of cancelling the treatment cycle or converting to IVF. A
lack of clear guidance when several mature follicles develop can yield a difficult
clinical decision for the patient and health care provider, and a resulting multiple
gestation poses a potentially dangerous maternal and/or neonatal outcome. Singleton
pregnancy per IUI is increasingly being considered a health care quality measure due
to the morbidities and mortalities that can be associated with multiples.
Furthermore, this retrospective cohort study provides a valuable resource for
clinicians to help minimize the risk of multiples in IUI with ovarian stimulation
cycles, and to counsel patients based upon age and mature follicle number.
This study reports multiples per IUI, but it also reports the multiples
per pregnancy. The reporting of twin and higher order
gestations per pregnancy rather than twin, triplets, or quadruplets
per IUI better emphasizes the substantial risk for multiples. For example, if a
health care provider is counseling a 35 year old patient with 3 mature follicles
that she has a 3% absolute risk of multiples per IUI, this risk is much more clearly
conveyed if it is stated that the relative risk of a multiple gestation (percent
chance of a multiple gestation if she becomes pregnant) is at least 20%. Therefore,
reporting multiples per pregnancy helps to express the risk. Heat maps ( Figure 3 example from our data) may facilitate
counseling of patient’s chances of clinical pregnancy, absolute risk of
multiple gestation, and relative risk of multiple gestation and allow for
personalized medical care. It is important to consider, that although this is a
large retrospective study, the data were extrapolated from a single site which may
limit the generalizability of these data to the varying success rates achieved at
practices.
Our results reveal a relatively low risk of multiples even with higher
numbers of follicles in women 41–44 years of age. The effects of aging on
oocyte quality likely account for this discrepancy seen in the older patients.
Clinical pregnancy rates per IUI cycle increase with increasing mature follicle
number, but only modestly in younger patients. Singleton pregnancy rates per IUI
cycle change very little with increasing mature follicles, especially for patients
under age 38. Women 38–40 years of age have a slight increase in singleton
pregnancy rates per IUI with increasing mature follicle number, but the risk of
multiples is above 17% when over 2 follicles are present, and increases to 21% per
pregnancy with 5 follicles present.
We observed little evidence to suggest any increase in the probability of
achieving a singleton pregnancy with more than two follicles present, unless over 40
years of age. Higher quality oocytes in younger women may increase the risk of
multiple gestation when multiple follicles are present. The risk of multiples is
high (>13% per pregnancy) for women up to 40 years with more than one
follicle, and very high (>27% per pregnancy) among women under 38 years with
four or more follicles. The relative risk of triplets is as high as 3% to 10% among
patients under 38 years with 3 to 5 follicles, respectively, and 2% to 4% in
patients 38–40 years as well. It is crucial that patients are aware of these
risks when undergoing ovulation induction to avoid the morbidity and/or mortalities
and financial burden associated with multiple gestation pregnancies.
Strengths of this study include its high volume of clinical data and
categorization of multiple pregnancy risk by age and follicle number. With over
50,000 cycles for analysis, there was adequate power to provide robust estimates for
the risks in most subgroup analyses and these numbers may have utility in counseling
patients. The accompanying figures also may serve as tools that can be used to show
patients visual estimates of their risks and benefits. An additional strength of our
study was that our analysis included all follicles 14mm and larger. Although larger
follicles are typically considered in clinical management when deciding when to
administer an HCG trigger to induce ovulation or recommend timed intercourse, the
accompanying smaller follicles present should not be discounted and can lead to an
increased risk of a multiple pregnancy as well. Prior studies have shown that
pregnancies can occur in cycles with follicles of < 15 mm 22 , 26 .
In contrast, we acknowledge as weakness that we were unable to analyze additionally
the contribution of follicles <14mm to the likelihood of pregnancy and
multiple gestations.
Clinical paradigms in managing ovarian stimulation historically have been
directed toward inducing mono-follicular development in anovulatory patients versus
trying to induce multi-follicular development in patients with unexplained
infertility. Subgroup analyses in this study demonstrated that multifollicular
development resulted in higher odds of clinical pregnancy in patients with
unexplained infertility, but also resulted in a higher odds of multiple gestation in
anovulatory patients. While these results support the historical paradigm, it should
be noted that the 95%CI of most of these estimates overlapped, precluding a
definitive conclusion. However, in both groups the increased odds of multiple
gestation were greater than the increased odds of clinical pregnancy. This suggests
that caution should be employed when considering IUI in all patients with more than
two follicles, regardless of the diagnosis, if the goal is to achieve a singleton
pregnancy. Another clinical paradigm is that the duration of infertility justifies
the stimulation of more mature follicles. When evaluating duration of infertility as
a continuous variable and as a categorical variable (<12, 12–23,
24–35, and ≥36 months) and adjusting for patient age, duration of
infertility was not associated with either clinical pregnancy or multiple gestation.
These data suggest caution should be used in aggressive ovarian stimulation based on
duration on infertility.
One weakness of our study is that it does not categorize outcomes based on
the patient’s diagnosis, aside from the subanalyses performed of patients
with unexplained infertility and ovulatory dysfunction. Additionally, multiple
studies in the van Rumste et al meta-analysis included patients
only diagnosed with unexplained infertility 29 – 31 or
unexplained infertility with “mild male factor infertility” 32 – 34 . Another weakness is that infertility was grouped according
to broad diagnoses categories, which may represent a heterogenous group of patients
with a wide range of prognosis for fecundity and multiple gestation. Uterine factor
and tubal factor infertility are two examples of broad diagnoses categories that
would have a wide range of disease states. We did not subdivide infertility groups
into smaller specific etiologies, as the number of categories would become very
large and power would be lost to detect meaningful differences. Further limitations
may include the use of IUI in anovulatory patients, where ovulation induction alone
increases pregnancy. The first line ovulation induction agent for PCOS changed
during this study period from clomiphene citrate to letrozole based published
literature 35 . However, the
risk of multiple gestation remained similar across the timeline of this study,
suggesting the number of follicles that develop infers the risk of multiple
gestation. A high number of follicles, regardless of the medication used to
stimulate them, inferred a greater risk of multiple gestation.
Lastly, based on our data set, we were unable to evaluate outcomes further
than when clinical pregnancy was routinely documented (approximately 7 weeks
estimated gestational age). It is still possible that patients may miscarry past
this point, despite having fetal cardiac activity at approximately 7 weeks estimated
gestational age. This is particularly more plausible in advanced maternal age
patients, as one of the most common etiologies of early pregnancy loss is advanced
maternal age 36 . Pregnancy loss
ranges from 20–40% from ages 35–40, and increases as high as 80% at
age 45 36 , 37 . Although these limitations should be discussed when
counseling the patient, we feel that the risks presented in our data set our
certainly not negligible.
Introduction
Multiple gestation is associated with increased maternal and fetal morbidity
and mortality. Fetal loss is as high as 5% for twins and 17% for triplets in the
second and third trimesters 1 .
Increased risks include pre-eclampsia, gestational diabetes, preterm labor and
delivery 2 – 8 , fetal demise during third trimester, preterm
birth, low (<2,500 grams) and very low (<1,500 grams) birth
weight 1 , 3 , 5 , 6 , 9 . Preterm delivery is associated with cerebral palsy,
retinopathy, bronchopulmonary dysplasia, polycythemia, hypoglycemia, and necrotizing
enterocolitis 10 . The
leading causes of maternal death in industrialized countries (pre-eclampsia,
thromboembolic events, and postpartum hemorrhage) are nearly 3-fold higher in
multiple gestations 11 . Twin and
triplet gestations are associated with a 4-fold and 6-fold increased risk of
perinatal mortality, respectively 11 , 12 .
Ovulation induction or ovarian stimulation with intrauterine insemination is
a first line treatment for many types of infertility. However, the incidence of
twins and high-order multiples resulting from ovarian stimulation has been reported
to be over 20 and 100 times greater than natural conception births,
respectively 13 . Multiple
other studies report that ovulation induction by ovarian stimulation largely
contribute to the observed rates of multiple gestation 14 – 19 . Current recommendations set forth by the American Society of
Reproductive Medicine are to induce ovulation of 1 or 2 mature follicles (i.e.
ovulation induction) in anovulatory patients such as women with polycystic ovarian
syndrome (PCOS) or hypothalamic amenorrhea, and “multiple (often greater than
2) mature follicles” (i.e. ovarian stimulation) in patients with unexplained
infertility or age-related subfertility in order to increase cycle
fecundity 10 . Some prior
studies have indicated that the number and size of mature follicles measured is
unhelpful in predicting multiple gestation and there are not clear criteria set
forth to avoid multiples 20 , 21 . Other studies demonstrate that
increasing numbers of mature follicles are associated with both increased likelihood
of pregnancy and increased risk of multiple gestation 22 – 24 . As suggested by a meta-analysis involving 11,599 ovarian
stimulation with intrauterine insemination cycles, pregnancy rates increased by 5%,
8%, and 8% when recruiting two, three, and four mature follicles respectively.
However, the increase in follicle number was associated with the risk of increasing
multiples rate by 6%, 14%, and 10%, respectively 24 . The current literature is limited in that female age, the
greatest predictor of fecundity, is often not accounted for in predicting the
likelihood of pregnancy and multiple gestation.
Overall, there is a lack of data on the age of the patient and follicle
number stratified risks of pregnancy and multiple gestation in IUI cycles with
ovarian stimulation. Lack of such data may result in ambiguity in clinical judgement
when deciding whether a cycle should be canceled based on the number of mature
follicles present in order to prevent the risks associated with a multiple
gestation. Establishing age-based data regarding mature follicle number on the day
of trigger can enable more patients to safely achieve a singleton pregnancy prior to
considering further intervention and expense, such as in vitro
fertilization (IVF). This study evaluated the risk of a multiple gestation pregnancy
based on the number of mature follicles on the day of ovulation trigger and patient
age, in IUI cycles with ovarian stimulation.