{"paper_id":"2ee101a8-0dd4-4efa-9c7d-b6fe7a4a89ea","body_text":"Green Trade and Globalization as Drivers of Sustainable Development in Emerging Economies | Research Square window.SnipcartSettings = { analytics: { enabled: false } }; (function() { var accessVector = localStorage.getItem('access_vector') || ''; window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; if (accessVector) { window.dataLayer.push({ user: { profile: { profileInfo: { snid: accessVector } } } }); } })(); (function(w,d,s,l,i){w[l]=w[l]||[];w[l].push({'gtm.start':new Date().getTime(),event:'gtm.js'});var f=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],j=d.createElement(s),dl=l!='dataLayer'?'&l='+l:'';j.async=true;j.src='https://www.googletagmanager.com/gtm.js?id='+i+dl;f.parentNode.insertBefore(j,f);})(window,document,'script','dataLayer','GTM-K279D39R'); Browse Preprints In Review Journals COVID-19 Preprints AJE Video Bytes Research Tools Research Promotion AJE Professional Editing AJE Rubriq About Preprint Platform In Review Editorial Policies Our Team Advisory Board Help Center Sign In Submit a Preprint Cite Share Download PDF Research Article Green Trade and Globalization as Drivers of Sustainable Development in Emerging Economies Nguyen Van Diep, Phan Thi Minh Hue, Nguyen Huynh Mai Tram This is a preprint; it has not been peer reviewed by a journal. https://doi.org/ 10.21203/rs.3.rs-7569337/v1 This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License Status: Published Journal Publication published 21 Apr, 2026 Read the published version in Discover Sustainability → Version 1 posted 12 You are reading this latest preprint version Abstract Sustainable development has become a crucial objective for emerging economies as they navigate globalization and trade liberalization. This study examines the relationship between green trade, globalization, and sustainable development in 27 emerging economies from 2000 to 2019 using Bayesian regression analysis. The results indicate that green trade positively influences sustainable development, with a mean parameter of 0.0131 and a posterior probability of 89.05%. Similarly, globalization has a positive effect, with a mean parameter of 0.0007 and a probability of 81.67%. Additionally, the study identifies an inverted U-shaped relationship between per capita income and sustainable development, suggesting that while income growth initially enhances sustainability, excessive levels may hinder it. A similar nonlinear pattern is observed for financial development. Institutional quality also plays a positive role in promoting sustainable development, with a probability of influence exceeding 80%. These findings highlight the importance of green trade, globalization, and institutional quality in fostering sustainable development in emerging economies. green trade globalization sustainable development emerging countries Bayesian analysis Full Text Additional Declarations No competing interests reported. Supplementary Files APPENDIX.docx Cite Share Download PDF Status: Published Journal Publication published 21 Apr, 2026 Read the published version in Discover Sustainability → Version 1 posted Editorial decision: Revision requested 29 Jan, 2026 Reviews received at journal 25 Jan, 2026 Reviewers agreed at journal 25 Dec, 2025 Reviewers agreed at journal 23 Dec, 2025 Reviewers agreed at journal 23 Dec, 2025 Reviews received at journal 26 Nov, 2025 Reviewers agreed at journal 19 Nov, 2025 Reviewers agreed at journal 15 Nov, 2025 Reviewers invited by journal 11 Nov, 2025 Editor assigned by journal 17 Oct, 2025 Submission checks completed at journal 07 Oct, 2025 First submitted to journal 07 Oct, 2025 You are reading this latest preprint version Research Square lets you share your work early, gain feedback from the community, and start making changes to your manuscript prior to peer review in a journal. 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